WASHINGTON — Be it sunshine or rain, weather has been known to have an impact on Election Day weather. While most of the country will be dry there a few spots that could see rain, snow or thunderstorms.
No severe weather is expected across the U.S. on Tuesday. D.C. and most of the East Coast will be rain-free for Election Day with mild temperatures in the 70s. Rain will be possible in areas such as Minneapolis, Chicago, St. Louis, and Little Rock as a cold front moves across the country. Rain and snow could fall in Montana and parts of Utah. Some storms are possible Tuesday in parts of Florida, such as Miami.
Among the key swing states, such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, rain chances are possible in Michigan, and Wisconsin has the best chances for rain on Tuesday.
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Research shows that rain, snow and temperature can have an impact on voter turnout.
Temperature
The warmer it is, the more people vote, an analysis published in the journal Frontiers of Psychology shows. The research found that warmer temperatures lead to a higher voter turnout.
The authors of the study found that for every 1.8 degree (Fahrenheit) increase in temperature, this led to a.14% increase in voter turnout.
Rain and Snow
Rain and snow on election days typically lead to lower voter turnout, according to researchers in a study published in the Journal of Politics.
"We find that, when compared to normal conditions, rain significantly reduces voter participation by a rate of just less than 1% per inch, while an inch of snowfall decreases turnout by almost 0.5%. Poor weather is also shown to benefit the Republican party's vote share," the authors wrote.
A study released in 2018 by Dartmouth College found that rain may have led to some voters changing their minds.
Their research uncovered that at least 1% of voters in the U.S. who would have voted for a Democrat instead voted for a Republican on rainy election days.
New research suggests that early voting can minimize some of the impacts of weather on Election Day.
ELECTION DAY WEATHER - NATIONAL
ELECTION DAY WEATHER - DC AREA
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